The Pattern of Progress: How radically cheaper, easier, faster, better technologies and ideas rapidly change the world.

$23.00
by Bradd Libby

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The rapid and transformative adoption of new technologies, new ideas, new behaviors, and new business models has followed a repeatable pattern for at least hundreds of years, maybe tens of thousands or millions. It might be a general feature of collective decision-making in many sentient creatures, not just us Homo sapiens. And it is likely to be a key dynamic, if not the key dynamic, that governs whether in the next decades we will produce unparalleled progress and shared prosperity, solving some of our greatest environmental and social challenges if we harness its power well, or whether we will slide into an extended period of stagnation and decline if we do not. We have quantitatively assessed approximately 1500 technological innovations, scientific discoveries, business models, and major world events. We mapped out which convergences of ideas enabled the biggest historical disruptions in energy, materials, agriculture, transportation, IT, labor, healthcare, and other foundational sectors of the economy. From this, we forecast the impacts that solar panels, wind turbines, batteries, robotaxis, AI, precision fermentation, drones, and other technologies might have in the coming decade or two. The Pattern of Progress is more than an explanation of human history, it is a map to guide to humanity to a world of abundance for all.

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